Decoding Strategic Trends in Geopolitics and Economics

“Don't be buffaloed by experts and elites. Experts often possess more data than judgment.” - Colin Powell

Did the post-pandemic cost of living crisis shock you like a bolt of lightening? Are you finding difficulty comprehending the convulsive geopolitical events around you? Are the media, commentators and experts failing you?

Thoth Talk will cut through the thickets of noise to decode the dynamics in geopolitics and economics. But, it will go one vital step further: empowering you with effective tools to understand and anticipate them.

We are bombarded daily by the opinions of economists, investment bankers, fund managers and commentators, who tend to parade their insights and models allegedly imbued with magical predictive powers.

Yet, they are normally nothing more than extrapolations of the past applied to today’s circumstances. And, if they predict an event accurately, it is due to luck rather than methodology.

Philip E. Tetlock, a political psychology professor at the University of Pennsylvania, demonstrated in a two-decade seminal study involving hundreds of participants that most experts and well-paid pundits had poor forecasting records.

Thoth Talk understands that the world is far too complex to be defined by one idea or theory. There exist innumerable factors, some known but many unknown, that overwhelm them.

Accordingly, we will utilise concepts and ideas from geopolitics to psychology and from different schools of thought to deliver rich, cutting-edge and differentiated analyses to our readers.